A Martingale Decomposition for Quadratic Forms of Markov Chains (with Applications)

We develop a martingale-based decomposition for a general class of quadratic forms of Markov chains, which resembles the well-known Hoeffding decomposition of U-statistics of i.i.d. data up to a reminder term. To illustrate the applicability of our results, we discuss how this decomposition may be used to studying the large-sample properties of certain statistics in two problems: (i) we examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series, and (ii) we derive an asymptotic linear representation and limiting distribution of U-statistics with varying kernels in time series. We also discuss simplified examples of interest in statistics and econometrics.